Tabrez Ahmad'sTechnolex


Tabrez Ahmad's Technolex

Technology, Education R&D, Consultancy,Hyperawareness,ODR,

Network of Law

The objective of the blog is to provide a fair analysis and awareness of legal issues in an easy way for the understanding of the people at large


Tuesday, April 14, 2020

Social and Moral Responsibility of the Individuals, Governments, and the Protection of Human Rights in the Coronavirus Pandemic (Covid-19)


Corona virus lead disease (Covid -19) pandemic has not only made us all face toughest time in the last 80 years but also to the Governments affecting almost all other spheres of life. It has been our testing times in last 21 days in India and will continue to do so for a few more month ahead until the entire virus is eradicated or until we find a medicine for it. During these difficult times, we have multiple challenges of life, liberty, business, trade, commerce, food, education, and it is very natural to fall into mood swings, depressions, anxiety, fear and in some cases even suicidal.

Education is the most hit sector because of the Covid-19 pandemic that has seriously affected the life and the teaching, learning process of several million students and faculty globally. Because on March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) Citing concerns with “the alarming levels of spread of Covid-19 and its severity, asked the Governments to take urgent and aggressive measures  to stop the spread of the virus. Educational institutions were first to shut down. Because, WHO declared that the outbreak of the viral disease COVID-19 first identified in December 2019 in Wuhan, China – had reached the level of a global pandemic. 

The scale and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic clearly grows to the level of a public health emergency that could justify restrictions on certain rights, such as those that result from the imposition of quarantine or isolation limiting freedom of movement. At the same time, careful attention to human rights like non-discrimination and human rights principles such as transparency and respect for human dignity can foster an effective response amidst the un-stability and disruption that inevitably results in times of crisis and limit the damage that can emerge from the imposition of overly broad measures that do not meet the said criteria. Human rights law recognizes that in the context of serious public health threats and public emergencies threatening the life of the nation, curtailment on some rights can be justified when they have a legal basis, are strictly needed, based on scientific evidence and neither arbitrary nor discriminatory in application, of limited duration, respectful of human dignity, subject to review, and proportionate to achieve the objective. As the International human rights law guarantees everyone the right to the highest attainable standard of health and obligates governments to take steps to prevent threats to public health and to provide medical care to those who need it.
The Prime Minister of India Mr. Narendra Modi keeping in mind the expected threats of Covid-19 timely imposed 21 days lock- down in the country from 26th March to 14th April, 2020. As the lock-down is the most effective way to break chain of the Coronavirus spread. But the lock-down period thrown serious challenges and affected multiple sectors including education not only India but also in almost all the affected 200 countries in the world. As Many countries have closed schools since the COVID-19 outbreak, disrupting the learning and education of hundreds of millions of students. In times of crises, schools provide children with a sense of stability and normalcy and ensure children have a routine and are emotionally supported to cope with a transforming situation. Schools also provide important aspects for children and their families to know about hygiene, proper handwashing techniques, and adjusting with situations that will break routines. Without access to schools, this prime responsibility falls on parents, guardians, and caregivers. When schools are closed, government agencies should step in to provide clear and accurate public health information through appropriate media.
To ensure education systems sustain properly, UNESCO has recommended that affected countries to  “adopt a variety of hi-tech, low-tech and no-tech solutions to assure the continuity of learning.” In many countries, teachers already use online learning platforms to complement normal contact hours in classrooms for homework, classroom exercises, and research, and many students have access to technological equipment at home. However, not all countries, communities, families, or social groups have adequate internet access, and lot of children live in locations with frequent government-led internet shutdowns and in rural areas where there is either poor network or there no network at all.
Therefore, UNESCO has recommended that the online learning should be used to mitigate the immediate impact of lost normal school time. Schools deploying educational technology for online learning should ensure the tools protect child rights and privacy. Governments should attempt to recover missed in-person class time once schools reopen after the pandemic gets over.   
Governments should adopt measures to mitigate the disproportionate effects on children who already experience challenges to education, or who are marginalized for various reasons – including girls, those with disabilities, those affected by their location, their family situation, and other inequalities. Governments should focus on adopting strategies that support all students through closures – for example, monitoring students most at risk and ensuring students receive printed or online materials on time, with particular attention provided to students with disabilities who may require adapted, accessible material.
Governments should adopt mitigation strategies, for example by working with teachers, school officials, and teachers’ unions and associations to factor in plans to recover teaching or contact hours lost, adjusting school calendars and exam schedules, and ensuring fair compensation for teachers and school personnel who are working additional hours.
In countries with high numbers of out-of-school children, school closures may hampered efforts to increase school enrolments and retention, particularly at the secondary level. Governments should place additional measures to review compliance with mandatory education – and ensure government education officials monitor school returns once schools re-starts. Education officials should focus attention on areas with high incidence of child labor or child marriage and ensure all children return to school. Officials should also ensure that schools with refugee students adopt outreach measures to ensure refugee children return to school, including by working with refugee parent groups and community leaders[1].
Sudden school shutting down may also leave low-income families fighting to make ends meet and provide necessities. Governments should ensure continued meal provision during school closures for children in low-income families who will miss subsidized meals.
As the outbreak of Covid-19 still growing fast in the different parts of the world with around 121,000 deaths globally, USA is the most affected country with 23644 and Spain 18056, Italy 20465, France 14964, UK 11329, Iran 4683, Belgium 4157 and China 3341 deaths the country where the initial outbreak occurred. The United States has also seen the highest number of infections crossing 6 Lakhs which has a serious pressure on the health care system.
However, India has less number of cases comparing to other foreign countries (10564 infections and 358 deaths) but leaning from the nature of the pandemic from the other countries our Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi today announced the extension of the lock-down up to 3rd May, 2020 for the next 19 more days. This is a welcome step and well thought decision of Mr. Narendra Modi but will further challenge the protection of Human Rights and put extra pressure on the individuals and society. Our Prime Minister rightly suggested the 7 points as follows to be taken care by us in line with our individual, social and moral responsibility and ensuring the protection of Human Rights of the suffering people as an urgent need of the hour[2].       
1.       Take care of the elderly- The Prime Minister advised to take special care of the elderly especially those with pre-existing illnesses.
2.       Follow Social distancing- He also said to strictly adhere to social distancing norms that have been so far effective in combating coronavirus. He also advised using face masks and covers. Home-made face masks can also be used.
3.       Follow AYUSH Ministry guidelines on improving immunity- It is important to build our immunity to fight the coronavirus and the Prime Minister has asked to follow the guidelines given by the Ayush Department. The department has suggested ayurvedic remedies to increase immunity.
4.       Download Aarogya Setu app- To help with the combat of the virus, the prime minister has asked for every citizen to download and use the Arogya Setu App. This app has been developed especially to track coronavirus cases.
5.       Help the poor- He has also appealed to people to help the poor and needy especially by providing food and protective gear such as face masks.
6.       Compassion for employees- The prime Minister asked employers to have compassion at such a challenging time and to not fire anyone.
7.       Respect Frontline workers- The true warriors of the pandemic are the health care and sanitary workers and the police who are risking their lives to protect everyone. It is important to show respect to them.
There are people who are lucky to have work and working from home by utilising the digital technology and positively contributing towards professional and academic activities and getting self-satisfaction but there may be people around you who may not have such an opportunity.  There may be people in your own families and society who may be having fear, mood swings, non- participation, Insomnia, loss of appetite, loss of interest and ultimately affecting their mental health.  Therefore, please do not ignore any symptoms like this if you see any of this in any member of your family and society, please come forward and show, courage, care, compassion and most importantly precautions. Only you can get your family out of fear by ensuring good health for self and loved ones as your top priority. It is important to save yourself from virus but it is even more important to save everyone from mental ill health and support in the protection of basic human rights. Therefore, you should always take care of yourself and be available to your family and the society.

This is not only the responsibility of the Govt. to fight with the Coronavirus Pandemic Covid-19 but we should collaborate with the Govt. and provide full support in whatever manner we can do to get success against the most difficult times of this century for the benefit of all of us.   



Tuesday, April 07, 2020

Social Distancing and Self-Isolation to Save Yourself from Coronavirus ( COVID-19)


It is challenging to know at early stages when you are infected by the novel coronavirus that causes the COVID-19 disease. There is a most common and rare symptom loss of smell that could signal you must be tested. According to Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, the virus could ultimately infect between 40% and 70% of the population worldwide. Some people might show no symptoms at all but many of those cases would be mild, while the prospect of being infected with a new virus can be devastating. The most symptoms are fever, coughing and shortness of breath. These symptoms usually appear between two days and two weeks of exposure to the virus. Doctors recently added "loss of smell" as a potential symptom that may show up alone without any other symptoms.  As the coronavirus outbreak continues to accelerate Globally creating serious worry among people. 
As COVID-19 is an infectious disease and grows faster among the people coming in close contracts. Therefore, the social distancing and self-isolation have come out as the best methods to avoid the fast spread of the disease. Most of the countries adopted the methods of lock-down to avoid the community transmission to control the disease. 
Even after all the protective measure the disease is still fast spreading globally and creating fear and worry in the entire world as till now there is no direct medicine to cure the decrease. Therefore keeping in mind the current situation it is recommended that each person should take proper care about himself and his family and stay at home to save lives. 
As the coronavirus outbreak continues to accelerate in the U.S., cleaning supplies are disappearing off the shelves and people are worried about every subway rail, kitchen counter and toilet seat they touch.  A new analysis found that the virus can remain viable in the air for up to 3 hours, on copper for up to 4 hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel up to 72 hours. This study was originally published in the preprint database medRxiv on March 11, and now a revised version was published March 17 in The New England Journal of Medicine. What's more, SARS-CoV-2 RNA was found on "a variety of surfaces" in cabins of both symptomatic and asymptomatic people who were infected with COVID-19 on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, up to 17 days after the passengers disembarked, according to a new analysis from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). However, this was before disinfection procedures took place and "data cannot be used to determine whether transmission occurred from contaminated surfaces," according to the analysis. In other words, it's not clear if the viral particles on these surfaces could have infected people. Another study published in February in The Journal of Hospital Infection analyzed several dozen previously published papers on human coronaviruses (other than the new coronavirus) to get a better idea of how long they can survive outside of the body.[1]
The new coronavirus spreads mostly through person-to-person contact within about a 6-foot (1.8 meters) radius, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). People with COVID-19, which is the disease caused by the coronavirus, spread viral droplets, particles through coughing and sneezing. The particles can land, on the face, in the mouth or nose of those nearby or by touching a surface where the virus has recently landed and then touching one's mouth, nose or eyes. Fortunately, ethanol, hydrogen-peroxide or bleach-based cleaners are effective at killing those coronaviruses that do survive on surfaces.  Unlike some extremely contagious pathogens, the virus is not thought to spread via smaller droplets that can remain airborne for long periods. In a study of the stool samples of those diagnosed with COVID-19 found that viral particles in those stools looked viable under a microscope. "This means that stool samples may contaminate hands, food, water, etc.," the China CDC wrote in the report. For instance, if a person did not wash their hands after touching a surface contaminated with infected stool residue, there is a chance they could become infected if they touch their eyes, nose or mouth with their hands, Live Science previously reported. To avoid catching the new coronavirus, health officials recommend avoiding close contact with people who are sick. A facemask is not a substitute for staying home when you are sick, Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University in Tennessee, recommends avoiding touching your eyes, nose and mouth. Frequent hand-washing — 20 seconds, with soap and water — and 60%-95% alcohol-based hand sanitizers can kill the virus.[2]
As per the Journal of the American Medical Association, as many as 98% of COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized had a fever, between 76% and 82% had a dry cough, and 11% to 44% reported exhaustion and fatigue.  As per the current WHO ( World Health Organisation ) reports the coronavirus pandemic has killed more than 75,000 people worldwide, most of them in Europe and USA. Most affected nations have called for complete lockdown to stop spread of the deadly virus.
The WHO said on 25th March, 2020 that countries which have locked down their populations to prevent the spread of the coronavirus need to use the time to find and attack the virus.

With around 75,000 deaths globally, Italy is the most affected country with 16,523 and Spain 13341, USA 10871, France 8911, UK 5373, Iran 3739 and China 3331 deaths the country where the initial outbreak occurred. The United States has also seen the 10871 deaths but the highest number of infections crossing 4 Lakhs.
Coronavirus has now spread to over 205 countries across the world affecting billions of people. "Asking people to stay at home and shutting down population movement is buying time, and reducing pressure on health systems. On their own these measures won't extinguish epidemics," said WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. [3]
Physicians work with state health departments and the CDC to determine who should be tested for the new virus. However, the CDC also recommends that people with COVID-19 or any respiratory illness monitor their symptoms carefully. If you become ill with the said symptoms and think you have been exposed to the virus, the CDC recommends calling your doctor first rather than traveling to a clinic worsening shortness of breath is reason to seek medical care, particularly for older individuals or people with underlying health conditions.
The disease appears to become more severe with age, with the 30- to 79-year-old age range predominating the detected cases in Wuhan, where the outbreak began, according to a study in JAMA. Children seem to be at less risk of suffering noticeable symptoms of the disease. However, a recent study of 2,000 children confirmed or suspected to have COVID-19 found that 6% developed severe or critical illness. The detailed study is published in the March 16 issue of the journal Paediatrics.
In more serious cases of COVID-19, patients experience pneumonia, which means their lungs begin to fill with pockets of pus or fluid. This leads to intense shortness of breath and painful coughing.
 Govts in various countries have taken right decision to lock down. This is one of the best strategy to control the further spread of the Corona Virus. But the problem is that few people in general not observing it seriously and taking it casual. As per the rampant growth of Coronavirus and affecting the serious health issues around the world and in India the social distancing and self-isolation is the best strategy to save yourself from Covid-19.
Therefore, the entire individuals globally in general are required to take necessary precautions and take good care of themselves and their near and dear ones to ensure well-being of their families and the society in large. Humanity has overcome many difficult challenges and together we can overcome.
 Lockdowns are now imposed in several countries. But the people are required to follow the lock down seriously and ensure the following to save themselves form the infection of Coronavirus (Covid-19) and get the real benefits and satisfy the real objectives of the lock-down.

Family should identify only one adult in a family for going out. Only he or she should go out. NOBODY ELSE.
•ONE dress: Use only one dress and same dress every time you go out. Use full-length dress. Don't mix this dress with your other dresses.
•ONE wallet: Use only one wallet. Don't mix these currency, coins and cards with other which already are there at home.
•ONE shopping bag: Use only one and same shopping bag every time.
•ONE vehicle: Use same vehicle and key. Avoid public transportation.
•ONE go: Avoid going out multiple times. Finish all your work in one go.
Avoid taking mobile phone or restrict using it.
Avoid crowding and come back immediately once you finish your work.
Use your non - dominant hand or elbow to open the door or push the buttons.
Once you come back: Keep your dress, wallet, bags, keys in a separate bag. Do not mix with others.
We must embrace the social distancing and self-isolation, always wash our hands, face thoroughly before touching anything and anyone, and always use N-95 Masks. Clean our mobile phone surface with sanitizer.
We must remember that we CAN'T AVOID exposure but definitely we CAN severely reduce its spread and impacts to avoid community transmission. As the community, transmission has the potential to create havoc globally. If we can avoid the community transmission, we can definitely save the world from the most difficult time of the last two centuries.




Saturday, April 04, 2020

Corona Virus (Covid-19) Pandemic and Work from Home: Challenges of Cybercrimes and Cybersecurity



The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has led to biggest number of employees globally bound to work remotely. The people working from home required awareness and knowledge of phishing scams, the fastest growing type of cybercrime, many of which are now playing on fears of the Coronavirus. Employees from organizations of all sizes and types now have minimal cybersecurity resources, if any, compared to what is normally available to them.
Organisations are required to ensure any endpoint that an employee is using is fully protected. As the Absolute 2019 Global Endpoint Security Trend Report showed, 42 per cent of endpoints are unprotected at any given time. Therefore, the people working from home should immediately get educated about their cyber privacy and cybersecurity failing which the global cybercrime damage may costs as much as double by the end of this year.
As the home-working becomes the new normal, criminals are seeking to capitalise on the widespread panic – and succeeding, alas. New coronavirus-themed phishing scams are leveraging fear, hooking vulnerable people and taking advantage of workplace disruption.
Cybercrime is the greatest threat to every company in the world, and one of the biggest problems with mankind. The impact on society is reflected in the Official Cybercrime Report, which is published annually by Cybersecurity Ventures. The most effective phishing attacks play on emotions and concerns, and that coupled with the thirst for urgent information around coronavirus makes these messages hard to resist.
According to the report, cybercrime will cost the world $6 trillion annually by 2021, up from $3 trillion in 2015. This represents the greatest transfer of economic wealth in history, risks the incentives for innovation and investment, and will be more profitable than the global trade of all major illegal drugs combined.
Cybercrime costs include damage and destruction of data, forensic investigation, restoration and deletion of hacked data and systems, fraud, post-attack disruption to the normal course of business, stolen money, lost productivity, theft of personal and financial data, embezzlement, and reputational harm and theft of intellectual property. There are 10 tips on how to spot a phishing scam. As the Phishing emails usually want you to click on something, for instance to update your payment details, or access the latest information on COVID-19.
People working from home should be aware on how to detect and react to phishing frauds, and other types of cyber-attacks. If they act immediately and thoroughly, then cybercrime damage costs can be contained and kept at the current level. If the carelessness due to lack of awareness will continue, it may cause heavy loss globally. As per the Cybersecurity Ventures’ estimation that cybercrime damage costs could potentially double during the Coronavirus outbreak period is concerned not only with phishing scams, but also with ransomware attacks, insecure remote access to corporate networks, remote workers exposing login credentials and confidential data to family members and visitors to the home, and other threats.[1]
Malicious actors are also using COVID-19 or coronavirus-related names in the titles of malicious files to try to trick users into opening them. One example is Eeskiri-COVID-19.chm (“eeskiri” is Estonian for rule), which is actually a keylogger disguised as a COVID-19 help site. If unpacked, it will gather a target’s credentials, set up the keylogger, and then send any gathered information to maildrive[.]icu.
The mention of current events for malicious attacks is nothing new for threat actors, who repeatedly use the timeliness of hot topics, occasions, and popular personalities in their social engineering strategies. In haste to uncover the supposed good news you could inadvertently reveal personal and professional secrets. Indeed, in these difficult times, when it comes to cybersecurity, it’s worth to relax and ask yourself that to Whom you should trust before proceeding on cyberspace.
Delhi Police issued advisory on cybercrime threat amid coronavirus. People are advised to be careful before login to any website and carefully check the authenticity of the website. Most of the website are malicious and engaged in Phishing. Think very carefully before clicking on a tempting link purporting to be from the World Health Organization (WHO), or similar, with positive information about the cure for COVID-19.  Chances are it will be a hacker preying on your understandable anxiety about the coronavirus pandemic. Please be careful and double cross check before login or clicking to any links and websites. The following website have already been blocked and categorized as phishing sites.[2]
adaminpomes[.]com/em/COVID-19/index-2[.]php
mersrekdocuments[.]ir/Covid/COVID-19/index[.]php
bookdocument[.]ir/Covid-19/COVID-19/index[.]php
laciewinking[.]com/Vivek/COVID-19/
teetronics[.]club/vv/COVID-19/
glofinance[.]com/continue-saved-app/COVID-19/index[.]php
starilionpla[.]website/do
ayyappantat[.]com/img/view/COVID-19/index[.]php
mortgageks[.]com/covid-19/
cdc[.]gov.coronavirus.secure.portal.dog-office.online/auth/auth/login2.html
Data from artificial intelligence endpoint security platform SentinelOne shows that from February 23, 2020 to till 4th April, 2020 there was an upward trend of attempted attacks with peaks at 145 threats per 1,000 endpoints, compared to 30 or 37 up to 22nd February, 2020. In the UK alone, victims lost over £800,000 to coronavirus scams in February, reports the National Fraud Intelligence Bureau. One unlucky person in particular was left £15,000 lighter after buying face masks that never arrived.
Banking trojan malware is masquerading as a WHO-developed mobile application helping individuals recover, or virtual private network (VPN) installers. And consider that Check Point research shows some 4,000 COVID-19 domains have been registered this year, many likely fronts for cybercrime. So-called ‘scareware’ will only ramp up as uncertainty rises and online searches increase as people seek information about the outbreak and solutions,” predicts Terry Greer-King, vice president of Europe, Middle East and Africa at California-headquartered cyber organisation SonicWall.  They know people are looking for safety information and are more likely to click on potentially malicious links or download attachments. Approximately 70 per cent of the emails Proofpoint’s threat team has uncovered deliver malware and a further 30 per cent aim to steal the victim’s credentials.
Due to high demand for virtual conferencing and other collaboration, tools could expose more vulnerabilities for hackers to exploit. Companies quickly adopting consumer-grade video conferencing can make it easy for an attacker to pretend to be a member of staff. Worryingly, Apricorn research published last year found that one third of IT decision-makers admitted their organisations had suffered a data breach because of remote working. Further, 50 per cent were unable to guarantee that their data was adequately secured when being used by remote workers.
The UK government’s National Cyber Security Centre published a home-working guide earlier this week that offers tips for organisations introducing home working as well as highlighting the telltale signs of phishing emails.
Computer viruses can spread just as easily as human viruses. Just as you would avoid touching objects and surfaces that are not clean, so should you avoid opening emails from unknown parties or visiting untrusted websites. Keep you devices and networks secure. You may use hand sanitiser to remove germs from your hands, and you should have an effective antivirus solution to keep germs off your computers and networks.[3]
Home-working people must follow the following Cybersecurity Tips for their Own Welfare.[4]
1.       Enable multi-factor authentication wherever possible, adding another layer of security to any apps you use. Additionally, a password manager can help avoid risky behaviour such as saving or sharing credentials.
2.       Try to use VPN solution with encrypted network connection. It is safe for the worker to access IT resources within the organisation and elsewhere on the internet.
3.       Organisations should update their cybersecurity policy and include home and remote working. Ensure the policy is adequate as your organisation transitions to having more people outside the office. They need to include remote-working access management, the use of personal devices, and updated data privacy considerations for employee access to documents and other information.
4.       Employees should communicate with colleagues for official matters using IT equipment provided by employers. There is often a range of software installed in the background of company IT that keeps people secure. If a security incident took place on an employee’s personal device, the organisation – and the employee – may not be fully protected.
5.       Without the right security, personal devices used to access work networks can leave businesses vulnerable to hacking. If information is leaked or breached through a personal device, the company will be deemed liable.
Hope the people working from home and the concerned organisations understand the challenges of cybersecurity and follow the suggestions to be able to get the genuine output in the ongoing difficult phase of life, business and global economic downturn.


Scenario of the Corona Virus (Covid-19) in India


In the current lockdowns if the proper physical distancing or compliance is not properly followed, the total number of cases (asymptomatic, hospitalized and symptomatic) can even touch a massive figure.
In the most likely (Medium) scenario with moderate to full compliance but no change in virulence or temperature/humidity sensitivity, the numbers of total cases can swell up to few lakhs.
The optimistic (low) scenario constitutes decreased virulence and temperature/humidity sensitivity. To reach these numbers, Johns Hopkins and CDDEP -- a public health research organisation -- used IndiaSIM, a well-validated agent-based model of the Indian population, which has been published widely over many years and has been used for government decision-making. According to the report, hospitalised cases can reach up to 25 lakh people in the High scenario, 17-18 lakh people in Medium scenario and 13 lakh people in Low scenario.
In what could spell real trouble for the country in the next three months, a new report from prestigious Johns Hopkins University and the Centre for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy (CDDEP) has predicted that 21-day lockdown may be ineffective to stop the COVID-19 peak arriving in April-May-June -- infecting few lakhs Indians in an optimistic (low) scenario.
Dr. Ramanan Laxminarayan, director of the US-based Centre for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, and an advisor to the World Health Organisation (WHO) and World Bank, had previously warned India that In a worst-case scenario, India would experience a novel coronavirus high infection rate, which would see approximately majority of confirmed cases of COVID-19 across the country, leading public health expert estimates.  India’s jam-packed cities and heavily crowded public transport also throws a unique challenge to social distancing, which is necessary to curb the spread of novel coronavirus. Now, in view of the effective enforcement of lockdown measures and countrywide curfews that were recently enforced by the Indian government, that worst-case number will not be very high. Furthermore, an overwhelming majority of these infections are likely to be extremely mild.
In case if a high number of people becomes ill, with few lakhs requiring intensive medical treatment would put an immense strain on India’s healthcare system. In a worst-case scenario, estimation is based on how transmissible the novel coronavirus would be in India. If citizens fail to follow the social distancing, the virus would be as transmissible as it has been in USA, Italy, Spain, UK, Germany, France, Iran and China which will effectively take the worst-case numbers to higher side.
There are various agencies, who have been consistently updating the countrywide COVID-19 infection status and deceased, but in-fact due to less testing in the country the real number of confirmed cases is significantly higher. It is almost impossible that this [community transmission] could not have happened in a situation where about tens of thousands of people travelled from different places of the world could not properly tested during entry in the country and to imagine that none of them carried the coronavirus.
We are required to upgrade the medical facilities, expand testing, and spread awareness to promote careful prophylaxis than to politicise the issues and irrationally connecting the spread of the disease to a particular community. Now the role of media is very important to provide the real picture and solace to the community than to play dirty politics to improve their TRP. Rather than they should encourage the community in seriously preparing for the mitigation, which would require making several thousands of beds available in advance.
 The Covid-19 is going to testify few things about India like our health system capacity; our system of governance on how much people listen to what the government is saying; and our social structure, whether people are going to support and cooperate each other.[1]
As per the reports and estimations, the Ventilator demand in India may go up to 1 million while the current availability in India is estimated to be between 30,000 and 50,000 ventilators. People could need ICU treatment; India needs to urgently import ICU equipment, ventilators and a range of medicines.
The possibility of infection to doctors and nurses could further increase deaths in the general population. Healthcare workers need personal protective equipment like masks and gowns to protect themselves. In lack of the proper support they may get sick and challenging, the potential of the health support system.
As per the current WHO reports, the number of coronavirus, cases until 4th April 2020 have crossed three thousand in India (good part is that very few are critical and more than 500 are recovered) and 11.5 lakhs globally (around 80,000 cases are mild condition but around 40,000 cases are critical in nature) while the death toll crossed 86 in India and 61,000 globally.[2] Good thing is that around 236,000 cases recovered globally. However, the coming weeks of April when peak may begin and delays in testing are seriously reducing the ability of the people to protect themselves. This is the most important way in which we can reduce the epidemic. A real number of detected cases in the short term could encourage the people to take social distancing more seriously and may reduce the panic compared to a big challenge later on.
Learnings from China provides that higher temperature and humidity may likely to lower the transmission rates but it is not very clear that how this will affect the Indian scenario. However, the best strategy is to be prepared for multiple peaks and should be ready for any emergency happening later. People who will show symptoms next week are already infected and incubating the virus. Some of these will transmit before they are symptomatic. A large percentage of cases are mild, but for older individuals, the mortality rate is strikingly higher. Children are less likely to be infected and less likely to be hospitalized than adults are. Illness is less likely to be severe in children than in adults, and the infection rate is less likely in females than males.[3]
it is essential to test those who have symptoms such as coughs, cold, fever or respiratory distress even though they have no travel history or have not come in contact with an infected person. Testing is important otherwise we will not know what percentage of people with such symptoms are coronavirus-related as opposed to sufferers of ordinary seasonal colds, coughs and flu. India govt. had acted promptly to check entry into the country and while sensible steps like shutting schools, colleges, theatres and cinemas and imposing lock-down in time but woefully the testing is inadequate for a country with a 1.3 billion population.
There is no need to rush for immediate testing but if you have a cold or cough or fever or respiratory distress and it persist after about four days then you should get yourself tested. If someone is quarantined at your house, then rest of the family members should take commonsensical precautions but this does not mean that they cannot enter the premises to serve eatables. They can actually hand the tray over rather than leave it two feet away. You can wash the utensils used by such a person or their clothes and there is no need to wear gloves but you must wash your hand.  There is absolutely no scientific basis for believing drinking gaumutra and taking gobar baths could prevent the Coronavirus infection. There is also no scientific basis for any of the homeopathic remedies that are being suggested for the cure of Covid-19.[4]


[2] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/. Visited on 2nd April, 2020.